S.
McVey
- November
6, 2000
Introduction
While customer relationship management (CRM) gets a lot of attention,
one important component is often overlooked - how a company effectively
uses its existing customer data to improve customer loyalty while also
identifying new potential buyers of products and services. Data mining
has emerged from obscure beginnings in artificial intelligence to become
a viable and increasingly popular tool for putting data to work.
What
is eCRM?
Customer Relationship Management is an information industry term for methodologies
and software that help companies manage customer relationships in a structured
way. For example, an enterprise might build a database about its customers
that describe relationships in sufficient detail. Ideally, the information
in the database can then be accessed by management, salespeople, helpdesk
personnel, and others to match customer needs with product plans and offerings,
remind customers of service requirements, and know what other products
a customer has purchased. CRM of course existed before there was an information
industry; even the great salesmen of literature such as Willie Loman and
"Professor" Harold Hill owed their successes to knowing their customers
and what those customers wanted.
CRM
has been a vital information industry segment for many years, but the
special needs of Internet businesses for real-time processing of huge
volumes of data led to the creation of a flock of startups and the coining
of the term "eCRM" to describe their niche. Some of the special characteristics
of eCRM were that it primarily served (and was offered by) dot-com businesses,
that it tended to be weak on the traditional kinds of CRM processing,
and that it made effective uses of Internet technology, such as connecting
an on-line customer with a phone representative and automatically displaying
the customer's data on the representative's screen. However, as bricks-and-mortar
firms expand to the Internet and old-line CRM and analytics firms do likewise,
the line between CRM and eCRM will become too hazy to matter.
Some
objectives of eCRM are to:
- Enable
marketing departments to identify and target their best customers, manage
marketing campaigns with clear goals and objectives, and generate quality
leads for the sales team
- Assist
organizations in improving telesales, account, and sales management
by optimizing information shared by multiple employees, and streamlining
existing processes
- Tailor
relationships with customers to improve customer satisfaction and maximize
profits
- Identify
the most profitable customers and provide them the highest level of
service
- Provide
employees with the information and processes necessary to understand
their customers' needs and build strong relationships between the company,
its customer base, and distribution partners
What
is Data Mining?
Data mining is an automated approach for discovering or inferring hidden
patterns or knowledge buried in data. By "hidden" we mean patterns that
are not made apparent through casual observation. As a component of eCRM,
data mining can aid marketing personnel by helping to answer the following
types of questions:
- Are there
additional people whom I should market to, or whom I am currently missing?
- Which
product traits do my customers perceive most favorably?
- Can I
create additional products which contain the best of these traits?
Though various
techniques for data mining exist, most of these fall into one of the following
two categories, supervised and unsupervised learning. Users apply data
mining software employing one of these two learning algorithms to construct
a data mining model.
Supervised
and Unsupervised Learning
In supervised learning, the user constructs the model by
supplying example sets of input data and corresponding sets of output
data. Training pets provides a good analogy for supervised learning. When
training a dog to roll over, the owner will say "roll over" (the input),
then grasp Fido on either side and physically rotate him laterally over
the ground to simulate the desired response: a roll (the output). Eventually
the dog will respond automatically to the "roll over" command with the
appropriate action. The analogy fails, however, when extending it to data
mining. In data mining, the trained model needs to respond to more than
just known inputs, but must give meaningful results when receiving novel
inputs. (Our dog would be confused by "roll out" or "roll up".)
A
data mining example might involve a marketing manager who wants to spur
the sales of a new CD. The manager would comb the database for records
of customers who had already purchased the CD, and present some of these
to the learning algorithm, instructing it to recognize from the other
purchases that these are likely purchasers of the target CD. The algorithm
would be tested with the remaining customer records. Records from customers
who didn't purchase that CD would also be used in the training and testing.
If the algorithm shows a high rate of predicting purchasers from non-purchasers
it would be used as a recommendation engine; when customers visit the
site those that score highly would be offered the target CD as a recommendation.
Data
mining models created by supervised learning are often applied in cases
where users wish to understand the outcome or consequences of a given
set of customer profile data never before encountered. By supplying both
the inputs and expected outputs, supervised learning allows users to create
models for prediction and identification.
In
contrast to supervised learning, unsupervised learning constructs
data mining models independent of any supplied performance criteria. The
algorithm that creates these models searches through a large collection
of input data and finds relationships on its own without requiring the
user to supply an expected output. In our dog training analogy, this would
be equivalent to shouting a series of commands at Fido and letting him
decide how to respond. Similar commands (measured within a specified tolerance)
would presumably cause him to perform the same trick, but the trick might
be completely new, i.e., one that we might not have anticipated (like
fetching leftovers from the refrigerator).
Unsupervised
learning models are ideal for identifying novel patterns in data that
might otherwise go undiscovered. For example, if a book is reviewed favorably
on nationwide radio show its sales might suddenly shoot up. A website
would want to recognize this and recommend the book to likely buyers.
Since the review was not known about in advance and the phenomenon only
lasts for about a day, the website needs to be able to recognize the pattern
as it emerges and respond to it without marketing intervention. Indeed,
on any given day there might be hundreds of such short-lived patterns
that the website could profit from.
Summary
| Supervised
Learning |
Unsupervised
Learning |
-
A set of target outputs (actual) are used to compare between actual
and produced output during learning (i.e., model construction)
-
Used for constructing predictive models
|
-
Models are constructed independently of any supplied performance
criteria
-
Used for searching for novel patterns
|
BOTTOM
LINE
User Recommendations
Data
mining capabilities can play an important role in successful customer
relationship management. In evaluating a data mining package, users should
ask in which category, supervised or unsupervised, it falls and whether
it is suitable for their needs. For instance, insurance companies seeking
to predict insurance fraud should consider packages that use unsupervised
learning, as there are typically no baselines to serve as predictors.
Consumer products retailers can use unsupervised techniques to discover
customer buying patterns in cash register receipt data in order to group
items optimally in their stores. Supervised learning should be used where
one wishes to measure the deviation from a known result. For example,
a marketing department may know what product combinations (e.g., cell
phones and accessories) are purchased by certain age groups. Supervised
learning can create a model that records these known "truths" about customer
buying habits which can then be used to qualify buying data that does
not conform exactly to these truths. This can help the marketers adjust
their strategy accordingly.
For
many companies the benefits of data mining are first realized in the area
of marketing. The process of collecting and segmenting customer data for
effective marketing campaigns has traditionally been more of an art than
a science. However, automated approaches such as data mining provide businesses
with better ways to plan and manage marketing campaigns. Companies with
large customer databases should consider a data mining solution for campaign
management and customer analysis that can leverage their data volumes
to improve customer loyalty, qualify and understand their customers, and
generate repeat business.
Editor's
Note:
This article has been modified from its original form since the original
publication date.
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D. Edwards FOCUSes on Active Supply Chain | To BEA or Not to BEA: Is That the Question? | Informix Goes Vertical With Software Vendor ADRM | i2 To Power Best Buy | Descartes Plots A Record Course In New Millennium | Evoke Software Releases Axio Data Integration Product | Vignette of an EAI Vendor (So to Speak) | Supply Chain Management Audio Conference Transcript | Viador Teams With Business Objects | AspenTech Completes Another Piece of the Refining Puzzle With Petrolsoft | HK Systems Gives Birth To Software Company, irista™ | Applix Still Shows a Presence in the OLAP Market | Manugistics To Help Amazon.com In Global Expansion | After Strong Game, Logility Suffers Fourth Quarter Loss | Ross Systems’ Renaissance Yet to Happen | Information Builders Announces New Release of WebFOCUS | Ariba Gains Legs Courtesy of Descartes | Adexa Reports Record First Quarter Results | webMethods Gets Active (Software That Is) | i2 Technologies Gets Reporting Help From Hyperion | Saltare.com Prepares LEAP Into B2B Fray | Sagent Technology Teams for Telco e-Business | EAI Vendor Active Software Activates Transactions | BMC Software Webs for the DBA | ChemicalsWorld.com Debuts On The Web | Business Objects Objects Again | Adexa Prepares To Step Into The Spotlight | Acta Gets Active | Spring Brings New Growth To Manhattan Associates | Parametric Technology Chills Out With Windchill Info*Engine V4 | Informix XML’s Its Metadata Transport Layer | Catalyst Emerges Strong in 2000 | i2 Enlists Honeywell in Process Industry Play | Metadata Standards in the Marketplace – Why Do I Care? (And Where Does Godzilla Fit In?) | EAI Vendor Extricity Teams with Moai to Automate E-Commerce Systems | NeoModal Launches Corporate Ship On Promising Journey | SynQuest, Ford Deliver a Novel Application for Inbound Logistics | SynQuest Teams With InterWorld for Internet Sales and Fulfillment | IMI Hopes Vivaldi Plays Well for Reverse Auctioneer | Will That Wretched ERP Finally Die? Possibly, But Only the Acronym! | Go Fygir! SCT Defeats Incumbent AspenTech at Texaco, Shell Venture | Computer Associates Goes E-Business in a Big Way | IBM Moves into Enterprise Application Integration | Internet Makes SCP All That It Can Be | Sybase Tag-Teams with Informatica | Symix Launches eSyte Supply Chain | Is J. D. Edwards’ xtr@ Ordinary? | Mercator Software Extends EAI Solutions for Insurance with XML | Cyclone Untangles Digital Partnerships | EAI Vendor CrossWorlds Eases Middleware Customization | SynQuest Ships Manufacturing Software for AS/400 | Manugistics: An Old Dog Learns New Tricks | Logility, IBM to Offer Mid Market Solutions on AS/400 | i2’s Aspect Acquisition Not Overpriced | Brio Technology Expands Support for WML and XML | Komatsu Employs “Mod Squad” For Logility Implementation | Ardent Software: Will Informix Merger Affect their Success? | Supply Chain Planning in 2000: The Brains Behind Internet Fulfillment | IMI, IBM Take First Step in Third Quarter | Commerce One and Adexa Build Castles in the Air | i2 Adds More Verticals To Ra-b2b-it Stew | MicroStrategy Hits a Big Speed Bump on the Information Superhighway | Acquisition Places Descartes Before E-Transport | Manugistics Takes Another Hit on Earnings as CFO Resigns | Descartes Systems Group Makes D&T Growth List | Catalyst International Secures French Connection with Steria | i2 Announces e-Business Strategy | Catalyst International Bit by Y2K Bug | Geac and JBA Join Forces to Form New ERP Giant | Optum Gets a Hand From Categoric | Computer Associates, Baan Japan and EXE Announce Strategic Alliance to Provide Total Supply Chain Management Solutions | New Management at Manhattan Associates | i2 Technologies Garners Semiconductor Award | Aspen Technology Posts First-Quarter Loss but Beats Estimates | Hershey's Halloween Nightmare All Too Common for Supply Chain Implementations | Deloitte & Touche Alliance with SynQuest Largely Symbolic | Logility Surges on Second Quarter Earnings Announcement | More Than 600 Customers Live on J.D. Edwards OneWorld. Dot.Com and Brick & Mortar Customers Alike Select J.D. Edwards to Achieve E-Business Agility | SAP Announces Investment in Catalyst International | Fortune Smiles on i2 Technologies | Baan Acquisition Expands Product Set and Integration Issues | Descartes Evolution Yields Revenue Growth But No Profits | Cap Gemini Eyeing Ernst & Young Business Unit | Industri-Matematik Posts 2Q00 Loss But Sells CRM | Andersen Consulting to Grab a Piece of the Internet Pie | Aspen Technology Signs Pact with PWC | SAP Highlights Supply Chain Management Tools | Manugistics Posts Third Quarter Loss But Sees License Growth | PeopleSoft, Lawson To Resell Integration Tools | Heads Roll at Consulting Giant in Wake of SEC Investigation | Manhattan Associates Partners with Intentia | Analysis of Manhattan Associates' New Partnership with CommercialWare | Logility Signs First ASP Deal with ebaseOne | Aspen Follows Good Quarter With Internet Launch | EXE Latest Vendor to Join IBM Supply Chain Club | AspenTech Launches e-Business InitiativeFinally | ERP Vendors Moving to Aerospace and Defense Markets | SCT Corp Previews New B2B Planning, Execution, and eProcurement Suite | Company Makes Good On B2B Collaboration | Siebel Sees Farther on Shoulders of Giants | G-Log Offers New Start For CEO, Management Team | Brio Technology Reports Record Second-QuarterEarnings | Sybase and MicroStrategy Team on Vertical Market Portal Applications | Informatica Conforms to Metadata Standard | Business Objects Outguns Brio Technology in Patent Dispute | Is There Finally a Metadata Exchange Standard on the Horizon? | Datawarehouse Vendors Moving Towards Application Suites | Microstrategy Moves Up with e-Business | Seagate Technology Refocuses its Software Business | The Market Rewards Ardent Software Initiatives | Hummingbird Announces Extraction and Portal Strategy for ERP | Sagent Technology Reports Strong Growth | The New Manugistics Debuts eBusiness Products | SAP Posts Solid Q499, but Warns of Q100 | What's in a Name for Supply Chain Vendors? | i2 Technologies: Is the Boom Over? | Oracle8i Release 2 - Ready to Storm the Web | Sterling Software Sees the Light with Eureka:Intelligence | Brio Technology Enters the ETL Market | More Data is Going to the Cleaners | Informix to Acquire Ardent Software-Another Vendor's Attempt at End-to-End Data Warehousing | Informatica Heads for E-Business | Acta Technology Helps Add Business Intelligence Capabilities to Major ERP Vendors | Inprise/Borland Challenges Other Vendors to Open-Source Their Database Code | Informatica Goes Multinational With Support for Unicode | Bus-Tech Speeds up Mainframe DB2 Access | NEON Systems Moves Further into Enterprise Application Integration | Hummingbird Releases Genio 4.0 With Improved Support for Oracle, Business Objects, Cognos, and NCR | Business Objects Launches WebIntelligence Extranet | Analysis of Novell and EAI Vendor Talarian Alliance | Informix Holds Fire Sale on Linux Database | Resistance is Futile: Computer Associates Assimilates yet another Major Software Firm | systemfabrik Releases an EAI Product? | Saga Continues Roll Out of EAI Tools | NCR's Teradata Database Meets Windows 2000. A Match Made in Redmond? | BMC Software Gets Slapped with Class Action Lawsuit | Software Technologies Corporation (STC) Prepares to go Public | SAS/Warehouse 2.0 Goes Live | BAAN Announces "Open World": Business-To-Business Collaboration Over The Internet | B2Big Deal for IBM, Ariba, and i2 | GE Comes to Lunch. Want to Guess Who the Appetizer Will Be? | Compaq Buys a Chunk of Inacom - But Will It Help? | i2 Technologies at the Front of the Supply Chain | AspenTech Searching for Definition in FY2000 | Manugistics Faces Uncertain Future | SAP APO: Will it Fill the Gap? | SSA: Evolving into systems integrator to survive | JBA: Will it remain "@ctive Enterprise"? | Industri-Matematik Faces Uphill Climb | Advanced Planning and Scheduling: A Critical Part of Customer Fulfillment | Enterprise Resources Planning (ERP) Market - Dismal 1999, the New Millennium to bring Relief (for Some) | Descartes Systems Group: Small Company With Large Ambition | Logility: Voyager in B2B Collaborative Commerce | Computer Associates Splashes Into the Data Warehousing Market with Platinum Technology Acquisition | QAD Inc.: The Art of Vertical Focus | Informatica Morphs into Enterprise Decision Support Vendor | Enterprise Application Integration - the Latest Trend in Getting Value from Data | Catalyst International Ties Fate to SAP | Surf's Up at Akamai |