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P.J. Jakovljevic - June 21, 2001

Event Summary 

As reported on May 31 in Government Executive, a monthly business magazine published by the National Journal Group, Inc, the federal market for enterprise resource planning (ERP) systems will grow to nearly $1.8 billion per year by 2005, according to a study recently released by Input, a Chantilly, VA, market research firm. On the other hand, in its article from June 2, Washington Technology, a semi-monthly published magazine, cites the federal government spends more than $3 billion on ERP and CRM software and related services, according to the market research firm Federal Sources Inc. of McLean, VA.

Input's study, "Federal ERP MarketView", predicts that ERP purchases will amount to approximately 4% of all federal IT spending by 2005. "ERP is very much alive and well in the federal government," said Ellen Zidar, Input's manager for e-government and government consulting. "There are many back office-type administrative systems still being overhauled and replaced with ERP systems. Although the market hype all centers around e-business and e-government, there is still a need to implement back office systems as backbones for the customer who is facing processes that will come in the future."

ERP customers in the federal market include the U.S. Mint, the U.S. Postal Service, Federal Prison Industries, the Smithsonian Institution and the Bonneville Power Administration to name but a few. The past year has also seen a number of large-scale ERP projects get under way (for some major ERP federal contract wins in 2000, see Big ERP Players Courting Government Agencies).

Zidar says that cost cutting is one of the most important reasons that agencies are implementing ERP systems. "Cost-cutting is important in every business," Zidar said, but "the federal government is more willing to be upfront about it." Since ERP implementations are expensive and difficult, Input also noticed "most projects focus on specific functional areas, such as finance or human resources, rather than integrated enterprise solutions." The study said "organizational streamlining and real-time data access" are the two major reasons why agencies are contemplating ERP systems. Zidar said software costs represent a fraction of the true cost of an ERP system. According to the study, more than 50% of ERP spending "relates to professional services."

Now that the federal ERP market is becoming sound, greater penetration of the midsize market is necessary if e-government data-sharing initiatives are to gather momentum. After all, federal agencies regularly contract with small or disadvantaged businesses and rely on state and local government for much of their information and program implementation. Consequently, for vendors to fully implement ERP and e-government systems at the highest levels, they will have to offer compatible products for smaller entities. Fortunately, states are another sector where ERP is experiencing significant growth.

"Taxpayers are demanding the same rich functionality and streamlined performance that for-profit, e-commerce sites provide from their own state and local government," said Caroline Rapking, a vice president in the state and local government group of American Management Systems Inc. of Fairfax, VA. "This demand is crucial in driving ERP needs, as ERP often provides the foundation for the customer-facing service delivery systems." Rapking predicts a 15% surge in ERP adoption at state and local government levels over the next two years.

Market Impact 

While not exactly in its prime, ERP bears its middle age well. Having experienced a rude awakening from an extreme enamor with dot-com's and owing to a backpedaled growth of yesterday's hot items like customer relationship management (CRM), supply chain management (SCM) or e-procurement, many experts have suddenly had an epiphany about the importance of solid back office transactional systems. The experts have even reverted to predicting moderate growth for the ERP market despite unfavorable economic conditions. TEC has long purported the general necessity of ERP systems even though it might have sounded too archaic or even heretic at that time (see Will That Wretched ERP Finally Die? Possibly, But Only the Acronym!, ERP Getting a New Breath of Fresh Air in Europe, and Wrong ERP Demise Predictions Have (Only Partly) Created Skills Shortage).

The federal market opportunity comes as no surprise either given that it has long been the segment with a low penetration of off-the-shelf integrated applications. During the salad days of economic boom and federal surplus, agencies, contrary to their private sector counterparts, have not had many qualms about devising large-scale fragmented, homegrown, maintenance-intensive informational systems from scratch. The times have drastically changed almost overnight. The new administration, pursuant to its campaign promises, is demanding more streamlined government that "meets the needs of the American people". To accomplish this, the government agencies have increasingly turned to readily available integrated ERP systems. Furthermore, with the General Accounting Office's assessment that a third of all federal employees will retire over the next four years, upgraded ERP applications appear to be a convenient way to prevent civic paralysis.

Even as the shortage of technical personnel is alleviated, the inefficiencies and liabilities of legacy islands of information need to be replaced by vendor-supported applications packages. The result of replacing obsolescent systems will be significant savings in system support cost.

With commercially available business applications, the product development costs are spread among a large population of users. This large installed base also allows for a greater aggregated vendors' experience, resulting thereby in higher-quality tried-and-true products.

Federal agencies, having the privilege of relying on always certain taxpayers money, will likely much more easily opt for acquiring a new ERP system, as opposed to making virtue out of necessity and finding reasons to stick with a piece of an outdated technology as is the case with many private sector companies (see The "Old ERP Dilemma: Replace or Add-on).

There are the other reasons why ERP has recently become a far more attractive option for the federal market. This market has benefited by vicariously learning from mistakes and failed ERP implementations in many commercial companies in the past. Additionally, many ERP systems are now componentized, which provides phased implementations in more manageable chunks (instead of a traditional 'big bang' approach) in addition to vendors' developed implementation methodologies that are based on bypassing the usual traps of past failures.

Many ERP systems have meanwhile also been Internet-enabled, which also allows for a quicker and simpler implementation, because client machines do not have to be configured time and again. Consequently, an agency also has a choice of either installing software on its own intranet or renting it via an application service provider (ASP). Further, the leading ERP vendors have incorporated CRM, SCM, e-procurement and business intelligence (analytic) modules by developing them in-house, by acquisition or through strategic partnerships with the best-of-breed vendors. Therefore, agencies should benefit from aligning back-office systems with CRM, e-government, business intelligence and Internet technologies as part of the overall plan, instead of managing it as multiple separate projects, with all subsequent integration ramifications. E-government initiative, with its need to extract usable data real-time across several agencies and to provide it to constituents too, is also driving the adoption rate of ERP systems that can provide a unified picture of their data.

Those who can deliver comprehensive solutions that satisfy the exacting, stringent requirements of federal agencies are in the driver's seat to capture that market segment. Increased federal adoption of ERP systems may imply that these have been increasingly offering a government endemic functionality. As an example, leading ERP vendors provide procurement software that works with General Services Administration (GSA) and Federal Supply Schedules (FSS), human resource (HR) systems that align with military or general schedule pay rates, and financial systems that comply with Joint Financial Management Improvement Program practices for government financial systems.

Further, the Tax and Revenue Management module within some ERP suites provides federal, state, and local government agencies tools to automate the tax collection process by enabling constituents to conduct and view financial transactions. The Records Management module provides these agencies, as well as colleges and universities, school districts, and healthcare providers, with the ability to define records and cases, workflow execution and monitoring, and electronic signature and information retrieval capability.

SAP, Oracle, PeopleSoft, SCT Corporation, and, to a degree, Lawson Software, J.D. Edwards, Geac, Computer Associates, Microsoft Great Plains, Siebel Systems, i2 Technologies and others all have been busy delivering or have already delivered similar capabilities. Provision of CRM and additional analytic and reporting requirements are other crucial issues. Each of these players will have to bet on creating an offering addressing e-government with a strong backbone ERP component (or, at least, an easy integration to major ERP systems in case of niche vendors). Meeting the public sector's needs will also require vendors to improve ease of installation, ROI, interoperability, and service & support networks. Moreover, cutthroat competition in the market during an economic downturn will definitely make price discounting a significant bargaining chip.

What an ERP system does for a business is as important nowadays as it has always been, despite the fact that the term ERP may have fallen out of favor. It sets the infrastructure an organization needs to do business and to communicate with internal and external users and other organizations. To this end, the public sector has realized the compelling need to modernize its back-office systems under the umbrella of e-government, namely, to provide constituents access via the Internet to internal public agencies, processes, and systems. This combination does not obsolete ERP systems. Quite the contrary, ERP functionality remains as critical as ever. Any business needs good inventory control, planning, purchasing, financial accounting and all the rest of nitty-gritty's. Therefore, based on the experiences of earlier e-commerce and e-government initiatives, CRM and SCM will only function well when backed up by the solid internal transactional system that ERP provides.

User Recommendations 

The moral of this story is that, while users in the public sector are in the driver's seat owing to vendors' unfavorable position in a slow economy, the task of selecting the right provider is nonetheless grueling. There is a cutthroat competition amongst well-known viable brand names with no clear market winner in the offing. Since government agencies need a reliable back-office system in place in order to conduct their e-government business or client relationship management, we encourage them to actively inform themselves about vendors' latest product offerings and vigorously negotiate contract terms. Pay close attention to vendors' natively provided extended-ERP modules and discern hype from reality.

The importance of a thorough, well-structured software selection process is of utmost importance given the fact that mere nuances will determine a winner. Overlooking any of crucial business applications evaluation criteria (e.g., Product Functionality, Product Technology, Product Cost, Corporate Service and Support, Corporate Viability, Corporate Strategy, etc.) may result in a selection with disastrous consequences. The use of statistically valid decision-making tool and for careful determination of importance (weight) factors for all selection criteria will be of paramount importance (see Knowledge Based Selections and A Case Study and Tutorial in Using IT Knowledge Based Tools Part 1: Decision Support Discussion). When more than one vendor ranks well within a given set of areas (as is very likely in the case of leading ERP vendors in terms of e.g., HR/payroll and financials functionality), the decision hierarchy provides the supporting material required to justify further investigations before the final decision. These include, inter alia, scripted scenario demonstrations and prodding client reference visits/conference calls. Furthermore, being more regimented than most of their commercial counterparts, and having to justify the rational spending of taxpayers' money, the need to document the selection rationale is also of the utmost importance for federal agencies. This leads us again to the benefit of using knowledge based Decision Support System (DSS), ERGO being one (see ERGO 2001 IT Evaluation Tool).

Agencies should therefore seek assistance in the selection process from unbiased service providers, preferably with experience in public sector or similar industries, and base their decisions only on existing functionality that the vendors are able to demonstrate during scripted scenario sessions. Put vendors' software through its paces during "scripted scenario" demonstrations (detailed sequences of near real-life business processes), in order to further distinguish between the vendors who made the short list (see Demonstration Post-Mortem: Why Vendors Lose Deals). Best-of-breed strategy may not necessarily be a bad option. However, 'bolt-ons' should be selected only from certified official business partners of the primary ERP vendor. The 64,000-dollar question is how functionality rich these new 'e-gov' modules are, and how seamlessly they have been integrated with the back-office. Alternatively, how feasible would the integration with third-party products be?


 
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Edwards On The Mend; This Time Might Be For Real | PipeChain Adds Pragmatism Onto Simplicity | Besieged By The CRM Throne Aspirants, King Siebel Delivers "The Magic No.7" Part 2: Market Impact | How Some ERP Vendors Demonstrated - Warts And All Part 2: Results | How Some ERP Vendors Demonstrated - Warts and All Part 1 | Should interBiz Mean Intelligence And Prediction Beyond ERP? - Part 2: Challenges and Market Impact | Is SCT And Logistics.com Partnership A Déjà vu? | Should interBiz Mean Intelligence And Prediction Beyond ERP? | Navision Enhances Its e-Vision And Looks To Expand Vertically - Part 3: Challenges & User Recommendations | Navision Enhances Its e-Vision And Looks To Expand Vertically - Part 2: Market Impact | Navision Enhances Its e-Vision And Looks To Expand Vertically | ERP Selection Facts and Figures Case Study - Part 2: Qualitative Assessments and Analysis | ERP Selection Facts and Figures Case Study Part 1: Business Model Scenarios | Soft Economy Dents SAP’s Armored Shield As Well | PRISM Users Get A Dedicated, Independent Web Community | Geac Awakens On Its Deathbed - Part 2: Geac's Response | What's With Oracle's And SAP's Differing Clairvoyance? | Geac Awakens On Its Deathbed - Part 1: Event Summary | The ERP Market 2001 And Beyond – Part 5: Recommendations | The ERP Market 2001 And Beyond – Part 4: Market Predictions | The ERP Market 2001 And Beyond – Part 3: Rating The Vendors | The ERP Market 2001 And Beyond – Part 2: Vendor Reactions | The ERP Market 2001 And Beyond – Aging Gracefully With The ‘New Kids On The Block’ | Shall Bifurcated Tack Reverse J.D. Edwards’ Bad Spell? | E-Business Sell Side Success at H.B. Fuller | Business Intelligence Success at Biomet, Inc. | Sausage Producer Packs Out the Profit with Technology | Intentia’s Intents To Be More Fashionable | 'Collaborative Commerce': ERP, CRM, e-Proc, and SCM Unite! A Series Study: J.D. Edwards | E-Business Customer Service Success at H.B. Fuller Company | SCT Extends Into Business Intelligence | ERP Trivia - Every Why Should Have Its Wherefore Part 2: ERP Key Success Factors | ERP Trivia - Every Why Should Have Its Wherefore Part 1: ERP Trends | Single Source or Best of Breed - The Debate Continues | Can You Add New Life To an Old ERP System? | Lawson Software Means Business With PSA and IPO | NavisionDamgaard Reverts To Navision, But In Name Only | J.D. Edwards' QUEST To End Its String Of Pyrrhic Victories Part 2: The Implications | J.D. Edwards' QUEST To End Its String Of Pyrrhic Victories Part 1: The News | PeopleSoft: Giving Fervent Hope To The Market And Jitters To The Competition. Part 2: The Implications | PeopleSoft: Giving Fervent Hope To The Market And Jitters To The Competition. Part 1: The News | ERP Selection Case Study Audio Conference Transcript | IFS' Tamed Growth + Continued Losses + Increased Competitors' Lobby Talk = Decreased Customer Confidence | Latest Development on Epicor's Trying The Divestiture Tack | Is Ross Systems Up To A Hat Trick? | The Mid-Market Is Consolidating, Lo And Behold | Where Is ERP Headed (Or Better, Where Should It Be Headed)? Part 4: ASP’s and New Pricing Models | Where Is ERP Headed (Or Better, Where Should It Be Headed)? Part 3: E-Business and Mid-Market Shakeout | Geac Decomposes To Survive | Where Is ERP Headed (Or Better, Where Should It Be Headed)? Part 2: Product Architecture and Web-Basing | Where Is ERP Headed (Or Better, Where Should It Be Headed)? Part 1: Functional Scope and Vertical Focus | Stalled Navision + Mixed Bag Damgaard = Satisfactory NavisionDamgaard | Small ERP Vendors Missing The ASP Boat | ERP Beginner's Guide In So Many Words | Will 2001 Be The Year Of Baan’s Miraculous Comeback?
Definitely Maybe.
| SCT Corporation: The Last Viable Process Manufacturing Vendor Standing? | QAD’s Costly eTransition Continues | Does NavisionDamgaard Merger Mark Further Mid-Market Consolidation? | Essential ERP - Its Functional Scope | The Essential ERP - Its Genesis & Future | Symix Starts New Year Under New Name, But Old Issues Remain | What On Earth Is Going On With SSA? | BEA Systems Has A Broad Vision For E-Business Infrastructures | Big ERP Players Courting Government Agencies | Geac Lives By Acquisitions; Will It Die By An Acquisition? | Lawson Software Expands Vertically As Well | Great Plains’ Latest Product Offering — Ready to Stampede the SME Market? | Great Plains' eEnterprise Solution 'N Sync with Microsoft's New Platforms | Navision Executes At a Slower Pace | Symix Systems Front-Steps Into Greener e-Commerce Pastures | Has SAP Found Magic Formula (One) To Learn The Ropes Of Marketing? | Is Baan Showing Signs of Life After Death? | Oracle – How to Disappoint Analysts by Doubling Profits | Ross Systems Ends Year On a Sour Note and Braces Itself For Survivor’s Game | Will Oracle’s Freebie Shot Hurt (Or Only Graze) Siebel? | Great Plains – An SME Market Leader, But At What Cost? | IFS Marches On, Although With a String of Losses | Siebel: Great Plans for Great Plains | Commerce One Holds Announcement Festival | Fourth Shift Corporation: Working Overtime To Provide Complete Customer Care | SynQuest Posts Mixed Results | J.D. Edwards’ Mixed Blessings | QAD Continues to Wade Through Red Ink | eConnections Expands Web With IPNet | Geac Trying Its Luck in Partnering | Ultimate Connection Seeking Its US Retail Connection Through Solomon Software Partners | New Release For Ariba’s Software | Thru-Put Announces Features For New APS Release | Oracle Applications - An Internet-Reinvented Feisty Challenger | American Software Has Been Starving While Delivering Innovations | Intentia Has Been Bleeding For Its Platform Independence | ERP Belle Époque Officially Ended With the Demise of Baan and SSA | PowerCerv Facing Another Stormy Season | The Pros and Cons of Collaborative Planning | MAPICS Back On Track, But Not Without Restructuring Pains | Global Vendor Negotiation Strategies | Winner Takes All – Siebel Ousts SalesLogix From Solomon’s Deal | PeopleSoft 8 Launched – Anything to Write Home About? | PeopleSoft: No More a Humble Kid From a Rough Neighborhood? | IBM Nabs Another Application Vendor | Epicor Software Corp.: How Far From Being 'One-Stop' Shop? | SCT Comes Back With a Vengeance | Lawson Software Marches Over $300M Milestone | SAP Remains Solid While Transitioning | They Can Run, But You Can’t Hide | How Has Made2Manage Systems Been Managing Itself? | Baan Defectors – Is This Only Tip of an Iceberg? | Is Fourth Shift Succeeding in Providing 'Complete Customer Care'? | SAP - A Leader Under Reconstruction | How Detrimental Can a 2nd-In-Charge’s Departure Be? | Can Geac Reshuffle the ERP Standings? | ERP Getting a New Breath of Fresh Air in Europe | Has Market Been Too Harsh On Great Plains? | J.D. Edwards Chooses Freedom to Choose EAI | Siebel Has Done It Again – This Time with Navision | American Software - A Tacit Avant-Garde? | Ross Systems, Inc.: In Process of Renaissance | How Has MAPICS Been Extending? | PeopleSoft Manufacturing - This Time For Sure?! | i2 Technologies’ Latest Offering: J. D. Edwards OneWorld™ | SAP to Become Leaner, Meaner and More Organized | J. D. Edwards FOCUSes on Active Supply Chain | Infinium Software, Inc.: Having All the Right Cards? | Access Commerce Spices Up North American CRM Fray | No More Mr. Nice Guy With J.D. Edwards | Enterprise Resource Planning Systems Audio Conference | IFS Far Cry From Running Out of Breath | ROI Systems, Inc.: Will Slow and Steady Remain in the Race? | Baan Yet Another ERP Vendor to Find a Sanctuary Under Invensys’ Wing | MAPICS Red Ink Stained While Extending Its Offering | Intentia’s Growing Pains | Ross Systems’ Renaissance Yet to Happen | Epicor Continues To Bleed | Symix Systems’ Slips Into Red During Its E-Commerce Transition | Will Solomon Finally Satisfy Great Plains’ Insatiable Appetite? | Baan Sinks Deeper into Red Quicksand | Lawson Software’s CRM and ASP Moves – Wise, Bold, Injudicious, Enforced, or Something Else? | Is SAP Stumbling? Perhaps. | Yet Another ‘Big 5 ERP’ CEO Casualty | Navision Software a/s: Mid-market iNvasion | Essential ERP – Current Market Trends – Part II | Will That Wretched ERP Finally Die? Possibly, But Only the Acronym! | Yet Another ERP/CRM Partnership | Oracle Flying High on Q3 Report: Is Gold All That Glitters? | Navision Becoming More Visible | Geac Announces Q3 Results and Acquires CRM Vendor | ERP Demand Being Re-heated | ERP Vendors Venturing into PSA | Solomon Software: Breaking Away from Perception as “Best-of-Breed-Accounting” Vendor | JD Edwards’ Alliances: Is It Too Much of a Good Thing? | GLOVIA to be Resuscitated (Hopefully) | JD Edwards Reports Strong License Revenue Growth in Q1 2000, but… | Intentia Attempts to Become ‘Lean and Mean’ | Vendors Begin to Round Out Their CRM Suites | J.D. Edwards Names SynQuest Preferred Solution | Oracle Integrates Front and Back Office with Applications 11i | PeopleSoft's CEO Steps Down | SSA Seeks Support from Synquest | SAP sets up Apparel and Footwear team | Geac and JBA Join Forces to Form New ERP Giant | Computer Associates, Baan Japan and EXE Announce Strategic Alliance to Provide Total Supply Chain Management Solutions | Oracle to Enlist BPA Systems in its Mid-Market Quest | SAP Lowers Revenue Expectations | Symix Maintains Consistent Profitability Despite Y2K Market Conditions | Software Leasing Trend Slams Baan Earnings | Intentia Americas Gains Momentum with 10 New Deals Inked During Last Two Weeks | MAPICS Reports Solid Profitability Despite Dismal Fiscal 1999 4% Growth | Baan Releases New Supply Chain Products | French Government awards ERP contract to Peoplesoft | Business Software Firms Sued Over Implementation - Lawsuits Bring ERP Problems to Light | Geac Metamorphosises JBA Into Gear, but Cuts 20% of Staff | J.D. Edwards Incurs Further Losses In Third Quarter | Intentia and Dash Associates Team Up | Key Product Delays Take a Toll on Oracle Users | ERP Packages For Midsize Firms in the Works | QAD Reports Third-Quarter--Revenue Rises 56 Percent | Pronto ERP 'Coming to America' | System Software Associates Announces Fiscal Fourth Quarter Results - The Agony Continues | Boeing Expands Baan Licensing Deal | Oracle Reports Strong Profits | QAD Offers Improved E-Commerce Applications with Greater Flexibility and Customization Capabilities | Heads Roll at Consulting Giant in Wake of SEC Investigation | Is Baan Clinically Dead? | Manhattan Associates Partners with Intentia | PeopleSoft Completes Acquisition of Vantive; Vantive CRM Applications Integrate with PeopleSoft and Other ERP Systems | SAP, PeopleSoft Earnings Look Brighter; ERP Strikes Back | Great Plains on a Shopping Spree | Geac Upgrades Accounting And Human-Resources Apps -- SQL Release 6.0 Simplifies Purchasing And HR Services For Midsize Companies | MAPICS, Inc. to Acquire Pivotpoint, Expanding e-business Offerings for Mid-Sized Manufacturing Establishments | PeopleSoft Takes Aim at Foods Industry | ERP Vendors Moving to Aerospace and Defense Markets | PeopleSoft Recuperating Slowly, Hoping to Sink 1999 into Oblivion Quickly | Baan Posts $236 Million Loss and Sells Off Coda for Nearly $40M Less Than It Paid | Symix Expands Its Product Offering While Remaining Profitable | IFS Continues to Blossom | SAP Declares Victory Over Manugistics, Takes Aim at i2 | Food Producer Files $20m Lawsuit Against Oracle | Oracle Loses Again | PeopleSoft Programs Cause Headaches at Number of Universities | Hummingbird Announces Extraction and Portal Strategy for ERP | SAP Posts Solid Q499, but Warns of Q100 | Analysis of Lawson Delivering New Retail Analytic Capabilities | ERP Vendor Lawson Software Extends to IBM's DB2 Universal Database | J.D. Edwards Teams with FRx Software to Improve Reporting Solutions | SAP and HP on the Web Together | Analysis of SAS Institute and IBM Intelligence Alliance | E-Commerce Lesson: Success Gets a Yawn, Failure Takes a Beating | SAP's New Level of e-Commerce: mySAP.com | BAAN Announces "Open World": Business-To-Business Collaboration Over The Internet | Lawson Plays Well With Others | The "S" in SAP Doesn't Stand for Security (that goes for PeopleSoft too) | Oracle Co. - Internet Paradigm Boosts Applications Growth | J.D. Edwards and Numetrix Ponder the Future as One | Symix Sytems: Shifting SME's Focus to Their Customers | MAPICS: Will Customer Satisfaction be Enough? | Intentia: Java Evolution From AS/400 | SSA: Evolving into systems integrator to survive | JBA: Will it remain "@ctive Enterprise"? | Marcam Solutions: Shifting its Focus to MES | Industrial & Financial Systems, IFS AB: Thriving on Product Flexibility and Incremental Deployability | Enterprise Resources Planning (ERP) Market - Dismal 1999, the New Millennium to bring Relief (for Some) | Lawson Software: Self-Evidently Thriving on Innovations | QAD Inc.: The Art of Vertical Focus | Great Plains: Strong Channel and Microsoft focus for Dynamic(s) Growth | SAP's Dr. Peter Barth on Client/Server and Database Issues with SAP R/3 | Baan E-Commerce: a Wing, a Prayer & a Single Platform | J.D. Edwards - Creating OneWorld of Mid-sized ERP Users | Q: Who Wants to Marry a Multi-Billionaire? A: Baan -- Foster Care for Its Orphans Needed As Well | Geac Computer Corporation: Mastering Growth by Acquisitions |


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